OTC: FNRN - First Northern Community Bancorp

Price = Avg Price + (Avg Price * CAGR EPS% / 100)
EPS = Earning Per Share
CAGR EPS = CAGR 5 EPS
Key Rate — Nøkkelrente
Excess Key Rate — Ønsket overskridelse av styringsrenten
EPS = 1.33
CAGR EPS = 4%
Key Rate = 0.0458
Excess Key Rate = 2
Price = 9.72 + (9.72 * 4% / 100) = 10.11

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair pris
Terminal Value — kostnad i perioden etter prognose
Company Value — kostnad i prognoseperioden
Count shares - Antall aksjer
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount Ebitda(5) = 0.0926
Ebitda Yield = 0.0487
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - Gjeldsbetjeningskostnader
Debt - Plikt
Weight Debt - Kapitaliseringsvekt i forhold til gjeld
Weight Cost Debt - Gjeldsvekt i forhold til kapitalisering
Tax - Avgift
Interest Expense = 0.0076
Debt = 0
Market Cap = 0
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 0 / (0 + 0) = 0
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0 = 1
Tax = 0.21
Cost Of Equity — diskonteringsrente
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risikofri avkastning
β (beta) — bestemmer risikomålet for en aksje (aktiva) i forhold til markedet og viser sensitiviteten til endringer i aksjens lønnsomhet i forhold til endringer i markedslønnsomheten.
Risk Premium — risikopremie - premie for risikoen ved å investere i aksjer
Country Premium - landrisiko
k(f) = 2.75
β = 1.27
Risk Premium = 5.94
Country Premium = 0
Cost Of Equity = 2.75 + 1.27 * 5.94 + 0 = 0.1028
WACC = (0.0076 / 0) * (100% - 0) * (1 - 0.21) + 0.1028 + 0 = 0
Terminal Value = Discount (0.0926 * (1 + 0.0487) / (0 - 0.0487)) = 1.99
Company Value = ∑ (0.0926 / (1 + 0) ^ 5) = 0.4218
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (1.99 + 0.4218) / 16260000 = 148.48

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair pris
Terminal Value — kostnad i perioden etter prognose
Company Value — kostnad i prognoseperioden
Count shares - Antall aksjer
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount FCF(5) = 0.0397
FCF Yield = 0.0877
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - Gjeldsbetjeningskostnader
Debt - Plikt
Weight Debt - Kapitaliseringsvekt i forhold til gjeld
Weight Cost Debt - Gjeldsvekt i forhold til kapitalisering
Tax - Avgift
Interest Expense = 0.0076
Debt = 0
Market Cap = 0
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 0 / (0 + 0) = 0
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0 = 1
Tax = 0.21
Cost Of Equity — diskonteringsrente
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risikofri avkastning
β (beta) — bestemmer risikomålet for en aksje (aktiva) i forhold til markedet og viser sensitiviteten til endringer i aksjens lønnsomhet i forhold til endringer i markedslønnsomheten.
Risk Premium — risikopremie - premie for risikoen ved å investere i aksjer
Country Premium - landrisiko
k(f) = 2.75
β = 1.27
Risk Premium = 5.94
Country Premium = 0
Cost Of Equity = 2.75 + 1.27 * 5.94 + 0 = 0.1028
WACC = (0.0076 / 0) * (100% - 0) * (1 - 0.21) + 0.1028 + 0 = 0
Terminal Value = Discount (0.0397 * (1 + 0.0877) / (0 - 0.0877)) = 0.4923
Company Value = ∑ (0.0397 / (1 + 0) ^ 5) = 0.169
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (0.4923 + 0.169) / 16260000 = 40.67