SSE: 601949 - China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd.

Price = Avg Price + (Avg Price * CAGR EPS% / 100)
EPS = Earning Per Share
CAGR EPS = CAGR 5 EPS
Key Rate — Nøkkelrente
Excess Key Rate — Ønsket overskridelse av styringsrenten
EPS = 0.5079
CAGR EPS = 5.67%
Key Rate = 0.0458
Excess Key Rate = 2
Price = 8.83 + (8.83 * 5.67% / 100) = 9.32

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair pris
Terminal Value — kostnad i perioden etter prognose
Company Value — kostnad i prognoseperioden
Count shares - Antall aksjer
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount Ebitda(5) = 0.6547
Ebitda Yield = -0.0309
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - Gjeldsbetjeningskostnader
Debt - Plikt
Weight Debt - Kapitaliseringsvekt i forhold til gjeld
Weight Cost Debt - Gjeldsvekt i forhold til kapitalisering
Tax - Avgift
Interest Expense = 0.0071
Debt = 0.4831
Market Cap = 22.93
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 22.93 / (22.93 + 0.4831) = 0.9794
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0.9794 = 0.0206
Tax = 0.21
Cost Of Equity — diskonteringsrente
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risikofri avkastning
β (beta) — bestemmer risikomålet for en aksje (aktiva) i forhold til markedet og viser sensitiviteten til endringer i aksjens lønnsomhet i forhold til endringer i markedslønnsomheten.
Risk Premium — risikopremie - premie for risikoen ved å investere i aksjer
Country Premium - landrisiko
k(f) = 2.75
β = 1.81
Risk Premium = 5.94
Country Premium = 0
Cost Of Equity = 2.75 + 1.81 * 5.94 + 0 = 0.1349
WACC = (0.0071 / 0.4831) * (100% - 0.9794) * (1 - 0.21) + 0.1349 + 0.9794 = 1.29
Terminal Value = Discount (0.6547 * (1 + -0.0309) / (1.29 - -0.0309)) = 13.59
Company Value = ∑ (0.6547 / (1 + 1.29) ^ 5) = 3.36
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (13.59 + 3.36) / 1903970000 = 8.9

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair pris
Terminal Value — kostnad i perioden etter prognose
Company Value — kostnad i prognoseperioden
Count shares - Antall aksjer
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount FCF(5) = 1.18
FCF Yield = 0.0777
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - Gjeldsbetjeningskostnader
Debt - Plikt
Weight Debt - Kapitaliseringsvekt i forhold til gjeld
Weight Cost Debt - Gjeldsvekt i forhold til kapitalisering
Tax - Avgift
Interest Expense = 0.0071
Debt = 0.4831
Market Cap = 22.93
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 22.93 / (22.93 + 0.4831) = 0.9794
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0.9794 = 0.0206
Tax = 0.21
Cost Of Equity — diskonteringsrente
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risikofri avkastning
β (beta) — bestemmer risikomålet for en aksje (aktiva) i forhold til markedet og viser sensitiviteten til endringer i aksjens lønnsomhet i forhold til endringer i markedslønnsomheten.
Risk Premium — risikopremie - premie for risikoen ved å investere i aksjer
Country Premium - landrisiko
k(f) = 2.75
β = 1.81
Risk Premium = 5.94
Country Premium = 0
Cost Of Equity = 2.75 + 1.81 * 5.94 + 0 = 0.1349
WACC = (0.0071 / 0.4831) * (100% - 0.9794) * (1 - 0.21) + 0.1349 + 0.9794 = 1.29
Terminal Value = Discount (1.18 * (1 + 0.0777) / (1.29 - 0.0777)) = 18.37
Company Value = ∑ (1.18 / (1 + 1.29) ^ 5) = 4.9
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (18.37 + 4.9) / 1903970000 = 12.22